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PE 1408 · fol. 9

Matching Evidence to the Claim

Evidence supports an argument only when it is actually relevant to the specific claim being made; the writer's job is to fit the right proof to each point. · 12 min

Folio 8 sorted evidence into kinds — facts, examples, quotations, data, testimony. This folio adds the harder test. Having a true fact of the right kind is not enough. The fact has to be about the exact claim you are making. A sentence can be accurate, interesting, and even about your topic, and still prove nothing you actually said. This folio is about that gap: the difference between a fact that is true and a fact that fits.

Guess before you learn

Your claim: the school's later start time improved students' test scores. Which piece of evidence actually supports that claim?

THE DEPTH DIAL — the same idea, younger or deeper
9–12

9–12

The claim decides in advance what would count as proof, so name it precisely first: what exactly does your sentence assert? Relevant evidence bears on that assertion, not merely on its subject. Screen time harms teenagers' sleep is not supported by data showing teens own more phones than they used to — ownership is about how common phones are, not about harm to sleep.

Test each fact with one question: if this were true, would my exact claim be more likely? If yes, it is relevant and you keep it. If the claim would be just as likely either way, the fact is off-target, however interesting — and interesting off-target facts are the ones that quietly pad weak paragraphs.

relevance

Evidence is relevant to a claim when its truth would make that specific claim more likely. Being about the same subject is not the same as being relevant.

THE CLAIMA TEMPTING BUT OFF-TARGET FACTEVIDENCE THAT ACTUALLY FITSLater start times raised test scoresAttendance rose after the changeAverage scores rose from 71 to 78The new bus route saves commuters timeRidership climbed 20 percentAverage trip time fell 11 minutesThis novel's ending is rushedThe novel sold poorlyThe last chapter resolves four plots in three pagesThe park made the block saferThe park is very popularReported thefts near it fell by a third
PLATE I Same subject on the left; only the right column touches the claim.
Retrieval Gate — answer before you continue 0 / 4

1.Claim: the library's evening hours are heavily used. Which fact supports it?

2.Match each claim to the piece of evidence that actually fits it.

Traffic calming slowed cars on Oak Street
The cafeteria's new menu is more popular
The bridge is structurally unsafe

3.Claim: the tutoring program raised graduation rates. A writer offers: two hundred students signed up. In one sentence, why does that fact not support the claim?

4.Claim: this phone's battery lasts longer than the last model's. Which fact is off-target?

Ink That Thinks — guess first; the answer draws itself.
Claim: the town's new bike lanes have made cycling safer. Five facts about the lanes, shuffled — drag them from most relevant to that claim to least. Commit your order in pencil first.

  1. Reported cycling injuries on those streets fell by half the year after the lanes opened
  2. A traffic study found cars now pass cyclists with more clearance on the laned streets
  3. The number of people cycling downtown rose 30 percent
  4. The lanes cost the town two million dollars to build
  5. Cyclists say the painted lanes look attractive
Reorder, then commit.
PLATE II Five facts, one claim — ranked by relevance, guess in graphite, order in ink.
Why is this true?

Why can a true, interesting fact still fail as evidence?

Because relevance is about the exact claim, not the subject. A fact can be accurate and about your topic yet leave the specific thing you asserted no more likely than before — and evidence that does not raise the odds of your claim is not doing the claim's work.

yesnoState the exact claimList every fact you might useWould its truth make THIS claim more likely?Yes — keep it as evidenceNo — cut it, however true
PLATE III One question sorts real evidence from the merely on-topic.

Test three facts against one claim: the café's new hours brought in more evening customers — the steps fade as you master them

1
Fact: the café repainted its sign last spring. Relevant?
No — the sign has nothing to do with evening customers.
2
Fact: evening receipts rose 25 percent after the hours changed. Relevant?
Yes — it is about evening business, the exact claim.
3
Fact: the café has five-star reviews online. Relevant?
No — reviews are about reputation, not evening turnout.
Retrieval Gate — answer before you continue 0 / 3

1.You claim a city's recycling program is working. Which is the strongest evidence?

2.Claim: homework helps students learn this material. A teacher offers: students turned in 95 percent of assignments. In one sentence, name what evidence would actually fit the claim.

3.Without looking back: what single question tells you whether a fact is relevant to your claim?

So relevance is the second gate every fact must pass: not just the right kind, but proof of the exact thing you claimed. Choosing well is only half the job, though. The next folio takes a fact that fits and shows how to make it work on the page — because even the right evidence, dropped in raw, argues nothing on its own.

Practice — new ink and old, interleaved

1.Reviewing folio 3: which sentence is a working thesis rather than an announcement?

2.Name the three tests you run to sharpen a thesis. Answer in one sentence.

3.Claim: the after-school art club improved students' attendance. Which fact fits?

4.Claim: 'The contract clearly forbids subletting.' Order these kinds of evidence from best fit for that claim to worst.

  1. A quotation of the clause that names subletting
  2. Testimony from a tenant who was told not to sublet
  3. Data on how many tenants sublet anyway

5.Claim: the new streetlights made the intersection safer at night. Order these facts from most relevant to that claim to least.

  1. Nighttime collisions at the intersection fell by half after the lights went in
  2. Drivers report seeing pedestrians sooner at the crossing
  3. Foot traffic through the intersection rose after the lights went in
  4. The lights use energy-efficient bulbs the city likes

6.Which is the sharper working thesis?

7.You need to establish that a specific senator voted against a specific bill on a specific date. Which kind of evidence settles it best?

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